Abstract

Since industrialization process commenced, the process of economic development in a sense, is the process of deepening labour division by microviewd, differentiating industries by mesoviewd and expanding regional economic disparities by macroviewd, and the rise and fall of the leading industries makes a partial proof of this process. Formation and development of leading industries always has its historical background, regional characteristics and strategic opportunity, taking proper leading industry at the right time and fitting the market opportunities can easily obtain industrial development opportunities and regional economic competitive advantage. Thus, how to find and make leading industries becoming an important part of the industrial structure policy of countries and regions around the world.

Based on the perspectives of history and processes, the reason of their rapid rise of first-mover capitalist countries, such as Britain, France, Germany, the United States and Japan and Korea after World War Ⅱ, even the socialist country the Soviet Union, is a direct relationship between the objective differences based on their chosen for leading industries. The positive role of leading industries of modern economic growth has been recognized and accepted by academia and governments. The experience can be copied for the development of regional economy, which is why international and domestic scholars committed to vigorously carry out this field of research and exploration.

Shenzhen faces both similarities and differences when comparing to regional swhich are committing leading industries. The socalled commons, including rapid economic development, industrial structure optimization, leading industry performance, full employment and the harmony of regional economic development and the natural ecological; while the difference is reflected in many as pects, this book will summarize in roughly as four economic development particularity, such as particularity of functional orientation, economic stage, industrial structure and regional location of the city. Obviously, Shenzhen also has many other characteristics of himself. Based on research objectives, characteristics and other factors, this paper intends to no expand temporarily.

To Shenzhen's particularity of economic stage, including the economic development gap between the absolute and comparable economic advantage in two ways. First, gap is clear when comparing to the current developed capitalist countries and regions in disposable income per capita and GDP per capita;based dimension of“international standard structure”, Shenzhen is in an advanced stage of industrialization. The comparabe advantages of economy are also obviously, the disposable income per capita of Shenzhen now is even higher than the country's GDP per capita, and production and consumption capacity of the economy are both more than national average level. As a noncapital city, Shenzhen's industrial system function tend not to be a complete industrial system but industrial clusters with a specific pattern, such as economic performance, technology and other aspects of performance and efficiency of employment. It is the exact feature that the urban structure of Shenzhen in a corresponding particularity, such as the industrial structure contain not a primary industry, while the secondary industry and tertiary industry structure in a longterm stability and so on. This has an important influence to the choice of leading industry. Different with those first-mover countries in Europe and US, Shenz-hen's leading industries should also based on their spatial planning and natural resource endowments. At this stage of Shenzhen and the Pearl River Delta region, the National Strategy to the outskirts of cities such as Shenzhen, Huizhou, etc., consistent with the current development plan, “the Bay Area economy”is the dominant strategy and opportunity for industrial restructure.

Based in Shenzhen's significant particularity, the book sorts out the relevant literature of leading industry choice in the study of research methods and features, evaluates Shenzhen's industrial development by efficiency from the micro, mesp to the macro. And finaly makes further analysis of Shenzhen leading industry choice theory and quantitative analysis.

In section of theoretical analysis of Shenzhen's leading industry choice for now, this book summaries Shenzhen's special nature of the current phase in four aspects, based on the history and current status of Shenzhen industrial development, and combines the theory and practice analysis of existing research framework. Obviously, due to the timeliness of theoretical research industry, stategy, regionality as well as the complexity of the relevant selection criterion factors, framework and benchmarks must be amended in order to adapt to the Shenzhen leading industry research stage. Therefore, the theoretical analysis in the 4th chapter, the book continues rectifying and amending basis in terms of methods, rationale, theoretical framework and reference system, and so the theory is applied to the existing dominant industry in Shenzhen selected targets related correction and improvement.

Based on correction frame work of choice theory of Shenzhen's leading industry. The book follows the practice of mainstream research work to deconstruct the whole into qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis. According to the quality, quantity and characteristics of data, the book analyses the Shenzhen industry by separation efficiency, employment concentration, market performance indicator system and the energy consumption indexes, etc. . On this basis, further using factor analysis to extract the relevant factors, and obtain preliminary quantitative analysis system based in Shenzhen stage select group of leading industries.

Obviously, quantitative analysis has limitations his own, such as strategic opportunities of regional economic development, and“city - urban agglomerations”regional planning and other factors. Therefore, the conclusion must depend on the combination of quantitative analysis and qualitative analysis, and then after a reasonable analysis of relevant theories, facts and development planning considerations.

Taking these factors which the development opportunities, Bay Area Economic planning and development tendencies of industrial structure and other aspects into account, especially the Bay Area economy of eastern and western hemispheres separately, Shenzhen has clear thinking to select the path of industrial development and the leading industry choice for now. According to relevant conclusions of quantitative analysis and qualitative analysis, those which, computer, communications and other electronic equipment industry, the Internet and related services, software and IT services as the core industry group; while textile and garment industries, from industry sectors, in respect of technique and productivity, etc., also has development potential and efficiency. The two industry groups representing dominant and recessive trends of leading industries. By the way, Shenzhen's hightech research and development work of pharmaceutical manufacturing and other genetic industries would gradually showing their competitive advantage. Traditional leading industry selection prefers to heavy-part of manufacturing and high-part of services and business. In fact, the industrial development of the city is a dynamic interactive process, the subjective and objective selection and development must reach the appropriate balance. If the industry development biased in heavy manufacturing or chemical or high - services, there is also unreasonable from the industrial development of structure and balance. Therefore, in the process of industrial development in Shenzhen should not ignore light industry.

Alike most industry studies, the book is of limitations, such as the industries selection bias, quantitative indicators designing, quality and capacity of quantitative data, etc., which affects the conclusions of this study in degrees. Thus, there are still plenty of questions worth thinking about industry of Shenz-hen, especially the leading industry research.

Key Words: Shenzhen; Leading Industries; Criterions of Choice; Development Path