摘要：本书总结了新中国成立以来非煤矿业的发展规律，及其在工业化不同阶段的主要特征，分析了供给侧结构性改革深入推进背景下未来一段时期中国非煤矿业的发展趋势。从时间、地域、矿种、类型、诱因、开采方式、企业规模等多个角度，分析了中国非煤矿山生产安全事故的发生规律，尤其是党的十八大以来非煤矿山生产安全事故下降的重要变化。采用面板数据模型等计量方法定量分析了中国工业化进程与非煤矿山生产安全事故之间的关系，确定了非煤矿山生产安全事故的主要影响因素。以非煤矿山生产安全事故数据和经济社会统计数据为基础，采用定量研究方法，分基准情景和深化改革情景对2020—2035年中国非煤矿山生产安全事故进行了预测。在定量分析的基础上，借鉴发达国家促进非煤矿业发展与生产安全事故“脱钩”的经验，结合供给侧结构性改革深入推进对中国非煤矿业发展的深刻影响，从监管体制、结构调整、技术革新、管理实践等方面，提出了促进中国非煤矿业发展与生产安全事故“脱钩”的精准监管建议。
关键词：非煤矿山；发展趋势；安全生产；精准监管
Abstract：This book summarizes the law of development of non-coal mining industry since the founding of New China，and its main characteristics at different stages of industrialization，and analyzes the development trend of China's non-coal mining industry in the future period under the background of deepening the supply-side structural reform.We analysis the occurrence of non-coal mine production safety accidents in China from multiple angles of time，region，mine type，type，inducement，mining method，and enterprise scale，and the decline of non-coal mine production safety accidents since the 18th National Congress of the CPC.We conduct quantitative analysis on the relationship between China's industrialization process and non-coal mine production safety accidents，and identify main influencing factors of non-coal mine production safety accidents，by using panel data model.Based on the non-coal mine production safety accident and economic and social statistics data，a quantitative research method is used to predict the non-coal mine production safety accidents in China from 2020 to 2035 in the base scenario and the deepening reform scenario.Based on the quantitative analysis，drew on the experience of developed countries in promoting the decoupling of non-coal mining industry development and production safety accidents，and combined with the supply-side structural reforms to further promote the profound impact on the development of non-coal mining industry in China，it has put forward precise supervision suggestions to promote the “decoupling” of China's non-coal mining industry development and production safety accidents，from the perspectives of administrative system reform，structural change，technological innovation and management practice.
Key words：Non-coal mines；Development trend；Safety production；Precise supervision